THESE ARE NOT MY PEOPLE

Donald Trump has dictator envy.  Friday morning, riffing in an apparently impromptu interview with Fox News, he spoke admiringly of Kim Jong-un: “He speaks and his people sit up at attention. I want my people to do the same." 

Actually, Trump’s people already do that.  There just aren’t as many of them as he’d like. 

Conservative Rick Wilson has coined a new phrase:  Axis of Assholes.  It’s even got an acronym:  CRANK – China, Russia, America, North Korea.  That’s the company we’re keeping these days. 

Meanwhile, Trump’s TV lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, is handing out ultimatums based on the FBI Inspector General’s 500-page report on James Comey’s handling of the Clinton email affair, which neither he nor Donald Trump has read. 

Here’s how the LA Times characterized the FBI Inspector General’s report.  “The report, released Thursday by Justice Department Inspector General Michael E. Horowitz, said Comey acted improperly but was not motivated by political bias. It does not question his decision not to pursue a criminal case against Clinton. But it harshly criticized the FBI and Justice Department’s handling of the matter.”  The Mueller investigation was not part of the IG’s report.

Nevertheless, Giuliani demanded that Jeff Sessions and Rod Rosenstein terminate the Mueller probe and also jail FBI agent Peter Strzok within 24 hours. 

From the perspective of other members of the Axis of Assholes, that’s pretty weak.  Kim Jong-un would stage public executions for both Mueller and Strzok, and also have members of their families murdered.  Vladimir Putin would probably have one of his agents slip some Polonium to Muller and Strzok. Maybe they’d survive, but the message would be clear.  And Putin isn’t going to run out of Polonium.

Giuliani’s 24-hour deadline hasn’t expired yet, but Friday has already been eventful.  Paul Manafort has been sent to jail for witness tampering while he awaits trial next month on conspiracy and money laundering charges.  But Rudy tossed him a lifeline, saying that “When the whole thing is over, things might get cleaned up with some presidential pardons.” 

For his part, Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that “Manafort has nothing to do with our campaign.”   Well, except for being your campaign chairman for 144 days between March and August, 2016. 

One interesting thing that the FBI IG report didn’t address:  Rudy Giuliani told Fox News in 2016 that the FBI was investigating Hillary Clinton’s emails – before the FBI made the investigation public.  How did Giuliani, as a private citizen, come by that information?   Inquiring minds want to know 

https://www.thedailybeast.com/donald-trump-the-insecure-pledge-in-the-dictatorship-fraternity?ref=home

THE POWERS THAT BE, THAT FORCE US TO LIVE LIKE WE DO

Speaking of the hottest places in hell, Jeff Sessions and Sarah Huckabee Sanders now claim that the Bible supports their policy of taking children – even nursing babies – from their parents and putting them in cages. 

Early Christians had a complicated relationship with secular authority.  Their Roman overlords didn’t much care about the religion of their subject states.  All they demanded was internal stability and prompt payment of taxes.  That’s why, towards the end of Jesus’ ministry, the Pharisees followed him around asking questions that were aimed at getting him to say something seditious.  One of them asked Jesus whether it was lawful for Jews to pay taxes to Caesar. 

Jesus (Matthew 22:21) said, show me the money.  The Pharisees produced a coin, and Jesus said, who’s image is on the coin?  Caesar’s, they replied.  And Jesus responded with his famous maxim: “Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar's; and unto God the things that are God's.”

Sessions and Sanders were probably referencing St. Paul’s epistle to the Romans, in which Paul wrote (Romans 13:1-2): “Let every soul be subject unto the higher powers. For there is no power but of God: the powers that be are ordained of God.  Whosoever therefore resisteth the power, resisteth the ordinance of God: and they that resist shall receive to themselves damnation.”

That’s all well and good, but ten years later, Paul discovered that the distinction between Caesar’s things and God’s things looked different to Caesar than it did to him.  The Emperor Nero had Paul beheaded.

Sessions and Huckabee do the typical Republican Christian thing – they cherry pick their Bible verses.  If they’d read a little further in St. Paul’s Epistle to the Romans, they’d have seen this (Romans 13: 8-10): “Owe no man any thing, but to love one another: for he that loveth another hath fulfilled the law. For this, Thou shalt not commit adultery, Thou shalt not kill, Thou shalt not steal, Thou shalt not bear false witness, Thou shalt not covet; and if there be any other commandment, it is briefly comprehended in this saying, namely, Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. Love worketh no ill to his neighbour: therefore love is the fulfilling of the law.”

Donald Trump, of course, is notorious for committing adultery, stealing, and lying.  Loving his neighbors – for instance, Canada and Mexico – isn’t even on his radar screen.  Not that any of this matters to good Christian Republicans.  For them, the Gospel of St. Donald trumps everything that came before it.

YOU SAY YOU WANT A REVOLUTION

There’s a special place in hell for people who keep using the phrase “there’s a special place in hell.”  It’s too bad the phrase has turned into a cliché because it really fits today’s Republican Party.  

The Trump revolution appears to have reached its Reign of Terror stage.  As Jacques Mallet du Pan observed in 1793, “the revolution devours its children.”  Trump’s Deplorables would love to purge moderates from the GOP, but sadly, there aren’t many of them left.  Still, it would be a shame to let all those pitchforks and torches go to waste, so the Deplorables have turned their bloodlust on actual conservatives who have been insufficiently enthusiastic in support of God-Emperor Donald I.

Republicans used to brag about being the Party of Lincoln.  Now, with Trump’s enthusiastic support, they’ve nominated an unapologetic neo-confederate to run as their Senate candidate in Virginia.  Corey Stewart is the face of the new GOP.

Republicans used to brag about being the party of family values.  Thinking globally but acting locally, they’ve nominated a pimp to represent them as a State Assembly candidate in Nevada.  A literal pimp.  He runs a string of brothels.  Dennis Hof too is the face of the new GOP.

Not so long ago, Republicans claimed to believe in an Axis of Evil, and insisted that North Korea was part of it.  Every Republican president since Eisenhower (and every Democratic president as well) has shunned the North Korean dictatorship.  But Trump needed something to take his mind off his legal troubles, so he went to Singapore and lapped up Kim Jong-un’s shameless flattery.    

Now GOP fanboys are touting Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize.  They must not know who reviews the nominees and selects the winner of that award.  Good luck persuading a committee comprised entirely of Norwegians to give it to Donald Trump. 

Western democracies understand that the rot in conservative America doesn’t stop with Trump and his crowd of small time grifters, pimps, and racist bullies.  Behind them are the true faces of the new Republican Party: Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin.  The GOP is now the Grand Oligarch Party, even if most of its members haven’t figured it out yet.

THAT SILVER TONGUED DEVIL JUST SLIPPED FROM THE SHADOWS

The world’s greatest negotiator got played like a fiddle in Singapore, and not just by the North Korean dictator. 

It was pathetically easy for Kim Jong-un to leverage Donald Trump’s vanity into a diplomatic triumph.  North Korea gave up basically nothing while Trump agreed to a significant reduction in American military presence.  All it took was a little sweet talk from the North Korean dictator.  “He said openly that no other president could have done this.” 

That was enough for Trump.  He even threw in a lagniappe.  He legitimized NK’s hereditary dictatorship by praising Kim Jong-un as "A talented man who loves his country very much. An honor to meet him."

Kim loves his country so much that he keeps a network of prison gulags to house any NK citizen who is foolish enough not to love him back.  Public executions of his political enemies only serve to deepen those bonds of affection.  Mass starvation never fails to win friends and influence people.

But the Trump-Kim love affair was predictable.  Trump has never met a dictator he hasn’t liked.  It’s the democratically elected leaders in Canada and Europe that he can’t abide. 

But the cream of the jest was the presence of Dennis Rodman at the summit.  Rodman was an eccentric but effective basketball player in the 80s and 90s, but he’s spent most of the last twenty years racking up arrests (DUIs, including one late last year, and physical assaults on women) and making a fool of himself.  This week, he made a fool of Donald Trump. 

On May 7, 2014, Trump mocked Rodman in this tweet: “Dennis Rodman was either drunk or on drugs (delusional) when he said I wanted to go to North Korea with him. Glad I fired him on Apprentice!”

Trump may well have been right about Rodman's sobriety.  But four years later, Rodman got the last laugh.  Donald Trump went with him to North Korea.  Maybe Rodman will be our first ambassador to Pyongyang.  Unless Trump decides to make him Secretary of State.

 

CAREER OPPORTUNITIES, THE ONES THAT NEVER KNOCK

The G-7 summit produced a Hans Christian Andersen “The Emperor’s New Clothes” moment over the weekend.  Justin Trudeau and Emmanuel Macron offered polite but firm criticism of America’s God-Emperor, and gasps of horror rose from Trump’s courtiers.  His trade advisor, Peter Navarro, went so far as to say that there was a special place in hell for foreign leaders who try to stab Trump in the back.  National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow echoed the stab in the back metaphor.

Navarro built his career on attacking China’s trade policy as an existential threat to the United States.  Now that China has bribed its way into the good graces of the Trump family, Navarro had to find a new target for his rage.  Kudlow was just another right-wing talking head on cable TV until Trump gave him an important government job.  He’s happy to echo the talking points that Trump and his lackeys come up with. 

Navarro and Kudlow are good examples of the kind of Trump supporter that doesn’t get enough attention.  The press is obsessed with the uninformed or misinformed Deplorables who make up Trump’s base.  But Trump is enabled by a smaller (though still sizeable) cadre of professional parasites – Mike Pence, most of his cabinet, Kellyanne Conway, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, not to mention Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell, and the congressional Republicans who vote them into leadership positions. 

Tom Nichols, Professor at the Naval War College, said some smart things about both groups, but especially about Trump’s sycophants, via Twitter on Saturday (June 9).  I’ve taken the liberty of collecting those eleven tweets and publishing them here.  They explain succinctly why arguing with Trump supporters of either stripe is an exercise in futility. 

Tom Nichols wrote: “It's not that I disagree about policy with Trump supporters. It's that I know they don't give a shit about policy. There's no way to have a policy argument with people whose eyes are always looking up to the television for a cue from Dear Leader about what to say next.”

“As [Jonathan V. Last of the Weekly Standard] once said, Trumpism is non-falsifiable. Whatever Trump does is right. There are no principled arguments to be had, because if Trump changes his mind or tweets something off the wall, Trumpers change their position immediately.

“This would basically be a cult except for one thing: most Trumpers do not believe their own bullshit. Yes, some of them really are stupid enough to think Trump is a good man and all that crap, but most of them are only interested in Trump as a vehicle of social disruption.”

“Trump's smarter enablers see him as an equalizer, a way to put them on an equal footing with "elites" - oh, that word - who they think look down on them. Thing is, the elites *do* look down on them. For good reason. Most of Trump's sycophants are second raters, at best.”

“For them, Trump is their shot. They know he's, um, emotionally disordered, to use [Republican think tanker who worked for Reagan and both Bushes] Peter Wehner’s term, but they don't care: this is their one chance to grab the car keys and throw a kegger before Mom and Dad get back home. That makes talking with them about policy impossible.  So if it seems like I don't engage Trump's enablers on the merits of this or that Trump policy, it's because I can't take Trump's "policies" any more seriously than Trump or his minions do. It's either pure stupidity or pure careerism, and either way, it's a waste of time.”

“Yes, there are people in government trying to hold everything together. I salute them and hope they can keep the ship afloat. But they can't make policy either. They can issue directives and hope for the best, mostly hoping Trump doesn't notice and overrule them via tweet.”

“I think we'd all be less exhausted if the Trumpers would just admit that what they value from Trump is the social leveling effect he has, forcing intelligent people to respond endlessly to stupid comments and bad ideas, than continue pretending they care about "policy." For myself, I am resigned that Trump will be president for as long as he's president. How it ends is up to the voters. But I don't see the need to engage in the cynical bullshittery of arguing policy with people who will change their minds on anything in nanoseconds.

"And for the love of God, don't tell me about what Trump's Real 'Muricans in the Heartland want. I know what they want: more government action, including money, delivered with a smile, inflated respect, and pity, earned or not. Those are utterly pointless discussions too.” 

“Trump is going to do what Trump is going to do. He's not liberal or conservative. It's all just the blurted thoughts of an angry, frightened man who won an office he didn't really want. We have to get through it, but we don't have to pretend we're arguing about real things.”

A WEEKEND IN CANADA, A CHANGE OF SCENE

It’s come to this.  Our new best friends are North Korea, China, and (of course) Russia.  Our new enemies are Canada, Germany, France, the UK, and the rest of NATO.

Like it or not, we’re now engaged in trade wars with our historic allies.  Their leaders are smarter than ours, but they’re all democracies and their citizens despise Donald Trump.  Politically, they can’t remain passive while Trump tries to damage their economies, even though they know everyone loses in a trade war. 

Donald Trump loves to complain that his predecessors – President Obama, to be sure, but really every president since the end of World War II – negotiated terrible deals.  As a resident of southern Arizona, I’m a little worried that someone will tell Trump that Franklin Pierce was a Democrat, and he’ll decide to void the Gadsden Purchase.

Or maybe, as Josh Marshall suggests, he’ll give Alaska back to Russia in exchange for the right to build a few Trump hotels in Moscow and St. Petersburg.  If Vladimir Putin has a sense of humor, he’s already thought of that.

In a little over a month, my wife and I are planning to spend a couple of weeks in Canada.  I hope the border is still open by then.

 

BY THE DON'S EARLY LIGHT

Every few years, I get my eyes tested to see if I need new glasses.  The doctor shows an image through two slightly different lenses and asks which works best, A or B.  After twenty or thirty iterations of that process, he’s figured out my new prescription.

In the same way, Donald Trump is slowly coming into focus for me.  In broad outline, Trump’s persona has been clear for a while now, but little details keep refining the picture.  This week’s clarifying Trump details come from a famous attorney, a professional sports league, and Alexander Hamilton.

I’ve often said that everything Trump touches turns to shit.  #NeverTrump Republican Rick Wilson uses more genteel language.  That’s why he’s got a book contract and I don’t.  His book is called EVERYTHING TRUMP TOUCHES DIES.  It’ll be out in August, and I’ve already pre-ordered it from Amazon.  I don’t know which examples Wilson will cite, because the Trump presidency is a target rich environment.  But submitted for your approval:  Alan Dershowitz, Harvard Law professor emeritus. 

Dershowitz had a long and (as best I can tell) reasonably distinguished career, during which he often criticized special prosecutors.  I, on the other hand, am an amateur who relies on the kindness of strangers to explain complex legal issues.  But for crying out loud, on January 20, 2017, Trump took an oath to “preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States.”  Not the flag, not the national anthem, but the constitution.  That seems pretty straightforward to me.

Trump’s swearing in ceremony is readily available from multiple sources on YouTube.  He did not add “except for the emoluments clause, that bullshit about impeachment, and anything else that might keep me from doing whatever I damn well please.”

Nevertheless, Dershowitz said on MSNBC that “The President wasn't wrong when he said I want loyalty from my Attorney General.  It's the constitution that's wrong for allowing that kind of division to occur."  I guess it’s good to have Dershowitz on record as conceding that Trump’s position is unconstitutional. 

No one, including the Founding Fathers, would argue that the constitution was or is perfect.  That’s why the Framers provided a process for amending it.  But so far, Dershowitz has failed to suggest a remedy for his newly discovered “problem.”  Perhaps the famous constitutional scholar would support an amendment that granted each new president the equivalent of a pre-nuptial agreement, giving them an opportunity to say which parts of the constitution they intended to ignore.

Trump, of course, is totally ignorant of the constitution, and relies on legal advice from the grifters who populate Fox News.  He may even believe that respect for the flag and the national anthem are mandated by the constitution.  What he knows for sure is that those issues resonate with his base.

That’s why he bullied the National Football League into creating a rule that penalizes players who kneel during the national anthem.  But if the NFL hoped that this silly rule would satisfy Donald Trump, they were sadly mistaken. 

The two things Trump loves most are dominating people (financially and sexually) and praise.  He especially loves praise from those he’s dominating.  Now that he knows he can bully the NFL, he’s not about to stop.  He rescinded his invitation to the Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles at the last minute, when it became clear that most of them weren’t going to show up. 

Instead of cancelling the scheduled ceremony, he tried to turn it into a patriotic sing-a-long concert.  Alas, he forgot (or more likely, never knew in the first place) the words to “God Bless America.”  It’s unlikely that he knows the words to “The Star-Spangled Banner” either.  But no matter.  In his mind, he dominated the Super Bowl champs and their entire league.  And for Trump, what happens in his mind is the only thing that counts.

In 2012, one of Mitt Romney’s advisors compared the malleability of campaign promises to an Etch A Sketch game.  Just shake it to get rid of the old image and you can start over with a blank slate.  That’s more or less the way Donald Trump lives his life.  He’s all about short-term gratification, and he’ll say and do whatever he thinks will “win” in the moment.  If he has to say and do the exact opposite the next day to “win” a new moment, he’ll do it without a second thought – and if necessary, deny he said either thing a week later. 

It’s obvious by now that Trump’s supporters are indifferent to his inconsistency.  Among the low-information voters that make up his base, Trump generates a reality distortion field.  His most telling insight during the 2016 presidential campaign was his comment that he could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and not lose voters.  Smart, sane people thought the comment was hyperbole.  Nope.  Instead, Trump was – for once in his life – telling the simple truth.

The extent to which Trump’s behavior is calculated, versus simply the ingrained habits of a man in cognitive decline, can be debated.  But the result is the same.

Alexander Hamilton described the phenomenon in 1792, when he wrote that “When a man unprincipled in private life desperate in his fortune, bold in his temper … despotic in his ordinary demeanour—known to have scoffed in private at the principles of liberty—when such a man is seen to mount the hobby horse of popularity—to join in the cry of danger to liberty—to take every opportunity of embarrassing the General Government & bringing it under suspicion—to flatter and fall in with all the non sense of the zealots of the day—It may justly be suspected that his object is to throw things into confusion that he may ride the storm and direct the whirlwind.”

Hamilton went further, predicting the outcome of the whirlwind:  “the only path to a subversion of the republican system of the Country is, by flattering the prejudices of the people, and exciting their jealousies and apprehensions, to throw affairs into confusion, and bring on civil commotion. Tired at length of anarchy, or want of government, they may take shelter in the arms of monarchy for repose and security.”

Or as Donald Trump said at the 2016 Republican convention, “Only I can fix it.”

Meanwhile, in other news, I wish Bill Clinton would just shut the fuck up.

Hat tip to E.J. Dionne of the Washington Post for the pointer to Hamilton’s comment; link below.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/to-win-the-news-cycle-trump-just-cheats/2018/06/06/e6dcdbf2-69c9-11e8-9e38-24e693b38637_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.d414be32adc9

JUST A JACKKNIFE HAS OLD MACHEATH, BABE

My sister-in-law-in-law (hi, Sally) commented on a phrase I used in a post a few days ago: “You don’t bring fact checkers to a knife fight.”  I credit Clay Shirkey for the inspiration.  Watching the Republican convention in July, 2016, he tweeted, “We’ve brought fact checkers to a culture war.”  Shirkey was building on a line from THE UNTOUCHABLES (1987) about bringing a knife to a gunfight. 

In the summer of 2016, almost no one (certainly not me) gave Trump a chance to win.  Shirkey thought otherwise, and he turned out to be right.  As I took another look at that two year old tweetstorm, something else he wrote jumped out at me: “Trump has promised 40% of the country what they've always wanted: a racist welfare state.” 

The 40% number now looks prescient.  That’s pretty close to where Trump’s approval ratings have stood for over a year.  But the comment about “racist welfare state” is even scarier.  With Trump, racism is a given.  It’s obvious now.  From his failed border wall to his failed Muslim ban, from refusing to help Puerto Rico to enabling storm trooper tactics by ICE agents, cruelty towards minorities has been the hallmark of his administration.

What Trump and his Republican enablers haven’t figured out yet is how to take government subsidies (e.g. health care and unemployment insurance) away from minorities while continuing to provide those same subsidies to poor white folks.  Instead, Trump delegated the tax code revision to Paul Ryan, whose only interest was in rewarding his billionaire donors.  The billionaires got their tax breaks, and in return, they funneled millions of dollars to their lackeys in congress.  Republicans went for instant gratification. 

They wasted an opportunity to design a racist welfare state, and their failure to do so may come back to haunt them in the long term. 

In other news related to the Republican philosophy of government, Washington Post columnist George Will weighed in on how to tell if you’re a conservative.  Will used to be a #NeverTrump Republican.  He’s still #NeverTrump, but he’s no longer a Republican.  He got so fed up with the current occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue that he changed his voter registration to independent.  But he’s still proud of being a conservative.

In a recent Post column, he proposed a litmus test to distinguish between true conservatives and mere poseurs (i.e. contemporary Republicans).  You’ll never guess what it was, so I’ll tell you.  Your true political colors will be revealed by the candidate you would have supported in 1912 presidential election. 

That’s quintessential George Will.  99% of the American populace don’t know and don’t care about 1912.  I actually knew who won (because it happens that an anecdote about the 1912 election is one of only two stories I know about my paternal grandfather, who died when my father was very young), but I couldn’t have told you who he beat or what the issues they ran on.

But George Will is made of sterner stuff, and he uses the 1912 election to distinguish between three philosophies of presidential power.  They actually turn out to be relevant today.  It’s three philosophies rather than two because there were three major candidates in 1912. 

Democrats nominated Woodrow Wilson, who – spoiler alert – won the election.  The Republican Party re-nominated its incumbent president, William Howard Taft.  You might think those two candidates would have been sufficient, but former Republican President Teddy Roosevelt popped up unexpectedly to play the spoiler.

Roosevelt served two terms as president from 1901-1909 and had thought of Taft as his protégé.  But Taft had other ideas, and a schism – partly personal and partly based on genuine policy disagreements – in the Republican Party.  Roosevelt joined the Progressive Party (also known as the Bull Moose Party), survived an assassination attempt, and outpolled Taft in the general election.  But both men were swamped by Woodrow Wilson, who carried 40 states. 

(My grandfather was a big Wilson supporter.  The story is that he and his friends went outside and fired their pistols into the air when word of the Democratic victory reached rural northeastern Oklahoma.)

George Will dismisses Woodrow Wilson as the first imperial president, a man who rejected – to the extent he could get away with – the Constitution’s restrictions on the executive branch.  But within the framework of the Constitution, there are two other positions on presidential power. 

According to Will, Theodore Roosevelt believed that a president could do anything that the Constitution didn’t expressly forbid.  William Howard Taft, on the other hand, believed that a president should only do the things that the Constitution expressly granted as the executive branch’s prerogative.

Roosevelt said of Taft, “I am sure he means well, but he means well feebly.”  Taft said of Roosevelt, “There is a decided similarity between Andrew Jackson and Roosevelt. He had the same disrespect for law when he felt the law stood between him and what he thought was right to do.”

Taft, of course, is the correct answer to Will’s conservative litmus test.  Conservatives, in Will’s view, believe in limited government, and they don’t abandon that view simply because they’ve come to power.

I don’t know enough about that era to say whether Will’s analysis of Wilson, Taft, and Roosevelt is valid or not.  But the three presidential philosophies that Will describes resonate a century later.

Donald Trump obviously believes that he’s not bound by any laws.  His arrogance would make Woodrow Wilson and Andrew Jackson blush.  He wants to be an emperor, not a president.

Most presidents in the past 50 years have leaned Wilsonian.  And ironically, the two exceptions have been Democrats – Jimmy Carter and Barack Obama.

If you get your news from the Republican disinformation machine, you probably believe that President Obama was a dictator.  But especially during his last year, he behaved a lot like the William Howard Taft that George Will admired.  Specifically, Obama knew that Donald Trump was surrounded by Russians who were trying to help him win the election.  He showed the evidence to Mitch McConnell in October, 2016 and pleaded with McConnell to issue a bi-partisan statement condemning Russian interference in American politics.  McConnell said no. 

I wish Obama had told McConnell to fuck off and gone public with evidence that Russians had penetrated the Trump campaign.  But his sense of propriety (as well as his mistaken belief that Hillary Clinton would win anyway) prevented him from telling a truth that may have changed the outcome of the election.  I admire President Obama.  I voted for him twice and would happily vote for him again.  But I think he blew this one. 

BOUGHT MYSELF AN IDOL WITH A GOLDEN HEAD

The cover of TV Guide for September 16-22, 1989, has gone viral because it features two recently fallen idols – Bill Cosby and Roseanne Barr. 

“How are the mighty fallen.”  That’s ancient wisdom.  King David (2 Samuel 1:25) said it 3000 years ago, and he wasn’t exempt from the truth of his own statement.  David himself fell from grace in the eyes of the Lord when he got another man’s wife pregnant and sent her husband into a battle to be killed.  That precipitated a chain of events that culminated a few decades later in the end of the unified Kingdom of Israel.   

Fast forward 3000 years.  I’ve been watching (or more accurately, listening while my wife and some friends watch) the Netflix documentary WILD, WILD COUNTRY.  It’s about the rise and fall of Rajneeshpuram, the intentional community in rural Oregon built around Indian guru Bhagwan Shree Rajneesh (later known as Osho) in the early 1980s.

Long story short, Bhagwan and his principal lieutenant Ma Anand Sheela bought a ranch in Wasco County, Oregon, and brought several thousand followers there.  Somehow, the enterprise turned dark.  Or maybe it was dark to begin with. 

The Rajneeshees wanted political power, and they had the numbers to take over the small town of Antelope.  But it wasn’t so easy to take outvote the entirety of Washo County .  The enterprising Sheela bused hundreds of homeless people to the commune to vote in local elections, which was apparently legal. 

But Sheela was taking no chances.  Right before the election, she introduced salmonella into the salad bars of ten local restaurants in the hope of rendering long-time residents too sick to vote.  She also attempted to murder a county commissioner and a local judge.  Those things were definitely not legal.

Sheela claimed she was acting on Bhagawan’s direct orders.  He denied it and excommunicated her.  Sheela entered a guilty plea and served 29 months in prison.  When she got out, she moved to Switzerland, where she lives today.  Bhagawan cut a deal with prosecutors, paid a fine, and made his way back to India, where he took the name Osho, and died in 1990. 

So what does all this have to do with Bill Cosby and Roseanne Barr?  Let me try to connect the dots. 

The first dot takes us back to the Old Testament 2600 years ago, to a story from the Book of Daniel, in which King Nebuchadnezzar had a dream about an idol with a golden head and feet of clay.  It was a parable about the destruction of the Babylonian empire.  Nowadays, it has become a metaphor for the discovery that the authority figures (parents, teachers, etc.) you’ve admired have the same weaknesses you do, or maybe even worse ones.

For some people, Bill Cosby was one such idol.  Wesley Morris wrote in the New York Times of his struggle to separate Cosby’s career from his crimes.  Morris says that for him and many other young African-American men, the character of Cliff Huxtable on THE COSBY SHOW was life-changing.  It wasn’t simply that Morris admired Cosby’s performance.  Rather, the fictional character was so compelling that it became a literal role model.  And now, the man who brought Cliff Huxtable to life has been convicted as a serial rapist.  Morris is no dummy.  He understands the difference between Cosby and the character he played.  But the truth about Cosby’s offscreen life has been hard for Morris to assimilate.

I haven’t run across anyone who claims that Rosanne Barr’s TV persona was that kind of role model.  Still, she had her fans; ROSEANNE was one of the most watched shows on television in the 80s and early 90s.  Her eccentric behavior started in that era, and became more offensive (deliberately, or so it seems) in recent years.  Since ABC resurrected her show precisely because she’d become a prominent Trump Deplorable, the network deserves the fiasco it wound up with. 

I’m not here to discuss those shows as works of art, since I’ve never watched a single episode of either.  What interests me is the process of hero worship and the confusion of performers with their roles.  And by performer, I include not only actors, but also artists, athletes, and even teachers and politicians – people who earned a place in the spotlight because of a specific skill, and whose fans projected an aura of virtue onto them.

The guru principle is an ancient and (mostly, I assume) honorable tradition in Asian spirituality.  Find a teacher, spend time – years, if necessary – making sure he’s authentic, and put your absolute trust in him.  Then you’re on your way to enlightenment.

That sounds weird, and even perverse, to American ears.  But our western tendency to hero worship contains similar elements.  We aren’t content to admire the achievements of our favorite musicians, actors, and athletes.  We want to believe that they’re also smart, brave, and ethical – better versions of ourselves.  When, inevitably, they let us down, we get sad, and then we get mad.

I wonder when the tendency to confuse the artist with the art began.  My theory, which I offer with absolutely no empirical evidence, is that it was connected to the advent of motion pictures, when viewers began to associate actors with the roles they played. 

John Wayne didn’t do anything particularly heroic in his offscreen life, but he became an American hero because the characters he played in his best films embodied (and arguably helped create) the myth of the Old West.  He had plenty of help from directors, writers, co-stars, cinematographers, etc., but his contribution was still an achievement.  I think it’s fine to admire John Wayne as an actor, as long as you understand that John Wayne wasn’t the Ringo Kid or Rooster Cogburn.  Hell, John Wayne wasn’t even John Wayne.  He was born Marion Morrison.  Give him credit as an actor, by all means, but separate the man from his roles. 

One important way in which American hero worship differs from the guru principle is that Americans are too impatient to spend much time investigating the authenticity of their heroes.  We make snap judgments.  In sports and the arts, that’s not such a big deal.  We like what we like.  Root, root, root for the home team.

In politics and religion, though, that impulse renders us vulnerable to con artists.  Even worse, uncritical adulation can corrupt well-intentioned people.  Hero worship is hard on the heroes. 

One of John Wayne’s contemporaries, Rita Hayworth, talked about the downside of being identified with her most famous role.  Hayworth (born Margarita Cansino) had a brief reign as the world’s most desirable woman thanks to her starring role in GILDA in 1946.  She was married and divorced five times.  “Men go to bed with Gilda,” she said, “but they wake up with me.”

All of which begs the question of what we should do when the spotlight inevitably shifts from our idol’s golden head to his or her clay feet.  If they’ve committed crimes, of course, there are legal remedies to apply.  My question is about the proper way to assess the person’s legacy, in terms of the body of work they’ve left behind.

One approach, which is becoming the default response on the Left, is that when a bad guy is identified, we should shun him and his works as well.  THE COSBY SHOW, ROSEANNE, Woody Allen’s films, etc. – all banished from the canon. I think that’s an overreaction. 

Music critic Greil Marcus wrote “We can rewrite history, but we should not unwrite it.  Ultimately a work lives its own life in the world.  What the work does and what happens to it out in the world is an open, complex, and interesting question.  The work is not the author.”

I think that distinction – “the work is not the author” – is vital, and it’s true of political as well as cultural life.  If you dig deeply enough into anyone’s private life, you’re going to find flaws.  Deeply flawed people can create great art, or great legislation.

(Conversely, we should remember that being a really good person doesn’t mean you’re a good artist, or an effective politician.) 

If we opt to shun the work of flawed men and women, there won’t be much left to enjoy.  Our challenge is to accept the fact that both our friends and our enemies have at least one thing in common.  They all have flaws. 

None of this means we should stop having heroes.  We just need to remember that heroism is a label we’re projecting onto them, and stop being surprised when they turn out to be complex human beings, with flaws as well as virtues.  Just like us.

EACH IS GIVEN A BAG OF TOOLS, A SHAPELESS MASS, AND A BOOK OF RULES

On Saturday, the New York Times published a letter that Donald Trump’s attorneys sent to Robert Mueller back in January.  Neither of the authors, John Dowd and Jay Sekulow, are currently employed by the White House, but someone in Trump’s camp saw fit to leak the memo to the Times.

Long story short, the memo argues that because Donald Trump is president, with authority over the Justice Department, nothing he might do would be illegal.  Trump is justice personified, and cannot, by definition, obstruct himself. 

Let us all walk humbly in the presence of our magnificent God-Emperor.

VOX Media’s Matt Yglesias has a good article on the implications of Trump’s claims (link below).  Money quote: “Consider that if the memo is correct, there would be nothing wrong with Trump setting up a booth somewhere in Washington, DC where wealthy individuals could hand checks to Trump, and in exchange Trump would make whatever federal legal trouble they are in go it away….  Having cut your check, you’d then have carte blanche to commit bank fraud or dump toxic waste in violation of the Clean Water Act or whatever else you want to do. Tony Soprano could get the feds off his case, and so could the perpetrators of the next Enron fraud or whatever else.”

Of course, this is a ridiculous argument.  And the cream of the jest is that it also completely undercuts Trump’s paranoid fantasy about President Obama planting a spy in his campaign.  Dude, your own lawyers say that nothing a president does is illegal.  STFU.

https://www.vox.com/2018/6/3/17421300/trumps-interview-subpoena

MY RIFLE, MY PONY, AND ME

Earlier this year, the domestic terrorist group that calls itself the National Rifle Association admitted that it accepted money from Russia.  Last week, we learned about one such generous donor – Alexander Torshin, deputy director of Russia’s central bank, and coincidentally, a life member of the NRA.  Who knew that the 2nd Amendment meant so much to Russian oligarchs?   Ypa 2A!

Torshin was on the radar screen of Spain’s Centro Nacional de Inteligencia, who recorded some conversations between him and convicted Russian money launderer Alexander Romanov.  What were Torshin and Romanov discussing?  Surprisingly, the conversation was not about well-regulated militias and the right to keep and bear arms.  Jose Grinda, a leading Spanish anti-mafia prosecutor, offered a clue: “Mr. Trump’s son should be concerned.”  Spain has turned the tapes over to the FBI, so Robert Mueller now knows whatever it is that Trump Jr. should be concerned about.

Meanwhile in New York, another Russian was making news.  Taxi medallion billionaire Evgeny Freidman was in deep trouble, and facing a hundred years in prison for tax fraud and grand larceny.  Mirabile dictu, Freidman, a Russian émigré, cut a deal with the New York Attorney General’s office last week – no jail time at all, in return for his full cooperation with any and all state and federal prosecutors. 

Golly, why might prosecutors in New York have offered such a generous deal? 

Well, when you think New York and taxis, you just naturally think of Michael Cohen.  Sure enough, Freidman was in business with Michael Cohen, Donald Trump’s former fixer/attorney.  It sure seems like this deal is an attempt to put the screws to Cohen.  Freidman can tell the Feds how Russian money made its way into New York, and into Cohen’s hands.  Cohen, in turn, knows how Russian money made its way into Donald Trump’s bank account.  No wonder Donald Trump is rattled.

There is a famous legal aphorism, sometimes attributed to Carl Sandburg: “If the facts are against you, argue the law. If the law is against you, argue the facts. If the law and the facts are against you, pound the table and yell like hell.”  Team Trump is now yelling like hell.  

Both the facts and the law will condemn Donald Trump.  In response, he has adopted a defense strategy that might have been designed by Lewis Carroll:  create a counterfactual world in which your supporters can believe six impossible things before breakfast.  Neither the facts nor the law are important.

A lot of assumptions I made right after the election were wrong.  For instance, I thought at least a few Republicans might have principles.  How naïve!  But I was right about at least one thing.  I wrote Facebook on November 16, 2016, that the most important difference between Trump supporters and the rest of us was what I referred to as a reality gap.

Pro- and anti-Trump people live in separate realities. We look at the same phenomena and see vastly different things. We can’t discuss, debate, or negotiate because even though we’re using the same words, we aren’t speaking the same language.

Disinformation is a deliberate strategy on the part of Donald Trump and his henchmen. They use incoherence as a weapon. They are trying to confuse people.  They have a multi-billion-dollar Republican propaganda industry led by Fox News, talk radio, etc., to help them deny the truth and promote lies.  And they’re good at it. 

Winston Churchill put it this way: “A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on.”  And by that time, there’s a new lie out the door and into the world. 

We can, and should, demand that legitimate news outlets document this dishonesty.  But we can’t rely on the truth to set us free. You don’t bring fact checkers to a knife fight. 

Trump’s current line of defense is that the Obama Administration inserted a spy into the Trump campaign.  Therefore, they say, if Mueller’s investigation finds what appears to be proof of collusion with Russia, it’s only because that spy planted bogus evidence for Mueller to use against Trump and his family.  Never mind that Mueller’s appointment wouldn’t happen for another year.  Obama’s Deep State had been planning this entire operation for decades, even before Obama became president.

As #NeverTrump Republican Rick Wilson puts it, Trump will soon claim that he and his family have “no business in Russia, didn't collude with Russia, didn't coordinate with Russia, never borrowed money from Russians, didn't accept dirt on Hillary Clinton from Russia, don't know any Russians, have never met any Russians and have never heard of the country of Russia.”

Sane people know that’s bullshit.  But there are a lot of insane people in America these days, and Donald Trump is doing his best to produce more of them. 

RUDY, A MESSAGE TO YOU

Rudy Giuliani went on CNN last week to spout a new Trump talking point – namely that a sitting president doesn’t have to respond to a subpoena.  To coin a phrase, you won’t believe what happened next.  Or maybe you will, but Rudy didn’t. 

Because he’s an idiot, Giuliani was unprepared for the possibility that CNN might have a videotape of him saying exactly the opposite twenty years ago, when the president was Bill Clinton; and that CNN would also have the audacity to play the tape while he was on the air. 

“Unfair,” old Rudy yelled at younger Rudy.

Politicians, like the rest of us, change their minds occasionally.  Sometimes it’s because they’ve legitimately been persuaded that an earlier position was wrong.  More often, especially among Republicans, it’s because their arguments are based on expediency rather than principle.  They’ll say anything that makes their side look good in the moment.

Rudy should have known that his earlier statement was out there.  He should have had a glib response ready.  It wouldn’t even have to make sense.  He could have said something like “Chris, legal precedents have evolved since the end of the last century,” and changed the subject. The key is a rapid response.

Trump’s chumps don’t demand logic or consistency.  All they want is an immediate counterattack when one of their sacred cows is threatened.  We saw a great example of the right-wing rapid response strategy last week, in the wake of the school shooting in Texas.  The Lt. Governor immediately suggested that the problem wasn’t guns, but the fact that schools had too many doors.  The NRA didn’t care that the idea was ridiculous.  It introduced a new element into the post-tragedy conversation and deflected some of the attention from their precious firearms.       

In Trumpworld, alpha males aren’t challenged.  But Giuliani wasn’t on Fox, where they know the rules.  And Rudy, like Trump himself, is clearly well past his prime.  He doesn’t think well on his feet, and often winds up revealing information that a sharper attorney would have kept secret.  What a gift to Robert Mueller, Michael Avenatti, and the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York.

Meanwhile, Reuters reports that Jeffrey Yohai, Paul Manafort’s ex-business partner as well as his ex-son-in-law, has cut a plea deal with the Justice Department.  My personal take on this development is that it means that Mueller really wants Manafort to flip.  He certainly doesn’t need a plea bargain to convict Manafort.  With Rick Gates and now Yohai ready to testify against him, Manafort is pretty well toast.  No, I think any plea deal Manafort might negotiate is about connecting Donald Trump directly to Russia in some way. 

And in other news, a fourth front has opened up in the battle to save democracy from Donald Trump.  A court in New York has ruled that the defamation suit against Donald Trump by a former Apprentice contestant, Summer Zervos, may proceed.  And Lordy, there are tapes!  Zervos, like other contestants on the show, was mic’d up literally 24/7.  Trump himself was live-mic’d during his entire time on the set.  Word on the street is that there’s a lot of Access Hollywood-type stuff on those tapes, crude comments about women, and maybe some racist comments as well.  The discovery process in this trial should be fascinating.

MAYBE I'M AMAZED

In 1984, science fiction writer William Gibson published his award-winning novel, NEUROMANCER, in which national governments have largely been replaced (or rendered irrelevant) by mega-corporations and entrepreneurs who operate more or less as they please.  The more I learn about Donald Trump’s connections to Russian oligarchs and Middle Eastern princelings, the more prophetic Gibson’s work seems.  This scandal is looking less like Russia vs. America, and more like the maneuvering of a loose coalition of international crime syndicates.  Sometimes they fight among themselves, and sometimes they cooperate.  But their common goal is to loot the entire world, including us.  Especially us.

This observation was sparked by a New York Times report (link below) about the August 3, 2016, meeting between Donald Trump Jr., an Israeli social media specialist, and a man who represented wealthy princes from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.  Those seemingly strange bedfellows were called together by a billionaire American mercenary in order to pitch a scheme to help Donald Trump win the election. 

American election law forbids accepting financial assistance (or any other form of aid) from foreign governments or individuals, so of course Don Jr. went straight to the FBI and reported this illegal scheme.  Oh, wait.  No, he didn’t.  Just like he didn’t mention the meeting he had earlier that summer with Russian spies claiming to have dirt on Hillary Clinton. 

He does deny accepting their help.  He was just being sociable, that’s all.  Nothing to see here, move right along.   

The man who called the meeting was Erik Prince, a man of many parts, none of them good.  He’s the brother of Betsy De Vos, the Secretary of Education whose goal is to destroy public education in the United States.  He’s also the guy who ran the notorious Blackwater mercenaries during the Iraq war. 

Blackwater, you may remember, conducted secret operations (for billions of off-the-books dollars) that were too dirty for the America military.  In Iraq, Prince met a businessman named George Nader, who was tight with those Saudi and Emirati princes.  In a remarkable coincidence, Nader was also tight with a couple of Russian oligarchs.  One of them was Oleg Deripaska, the guy who bankrolled Paul Manafort, Trump’s first campaign manager. 

The other was Dmitry Rybolovlev, the guy who bought a Florida mansion from Donald Trump in 2008.  Trump paid $41 million for it in 2004; Rybolovlev paid $95 million for it four years later.  Trump has sold a lot of property to Russian oligarchs at highly inflated prices.  Either those Russian billionaires are all pretty stupid, or Trump was helping them launder money.  I report, you decide.

But back to George Nader.  He soon became very friendly with Mike Flynn and Jared Kushner.  Flynn’s trail of criminality got him canned early on, so Donald Trump gave the Middle East portfolio to Jared Kushner, a man with no discernable talent except for losing massive amounts of money in bad real estate deals. 

Why would powerful Israelis and powerful Arabs make common cause?  Or to put it another way, what did they want in exchange for helping Trump win the presidency?  They wanted Iran destabilized.  And quid pro quo or not, Trump is doing his best to deliver that result.    

Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s twitter feed was particularly hysterical this morning.  “I hereby demand” that the Justice Department investigate my political enemies.  That’s illegal, of course, but who will enforce the law in this case? 

The only positive news in all this is that George Nader is cooperating with Robert Mueller.  That probably means that Don Jr. is in deep doo-doo.  When Trump gets this agitated, it often means he knows that Robert Mueller is about to make a big move.  Let’s hope so.

In the first half of the 20th century, the United States exercised a generally benign influence in world affairs.  But events since the end of World War II tell another story.  American attempts to interfere in the affairs of other countries, from Vietnam to Iraq (and yes, in Iran back in the days of the Shah), have made things worse rather than better.  The refugee crisis in Europe is a direct result of George W. Bush’s foolish mistakes in the Middle East.  Closer to home, our own issues with border security had their origins in Ronald Reagan’s adventurism in Central America, along with our Puritanical drug laws that refuse to acknowledge that a demand will be met with a supply, legal or not.

We think we’re chess masters, moving pieces on the world stage.  But the pawns have ideas of their own, and they’re in it for the long haul, while we have the political equivalent of attention deficit disorder.  Having set things in motion, all Vladimir Putin has to do now is simply relax and watch us trip over our own feet. 

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/19/us/politics/trump-jr-saudi-uae-nader-prince-zamel.html

WHEN WE GET BEHIND CLOSED DOORS

It was bound to happen sooner or later.  As the school year winds down, Texas has given us another school shooting.  Ten dead, ten more wounded, shooter in custody.  As of this writing, the shooter has no known ties to extremist groups, left or right.  He’s a 17-year-old white boy with a Greek name.

Texas Lt. Governor Dan Patrick has identified the problem – the high school had too many doors.  "Had there been one single entrance possibly for every student, maybe he would have been stopped."  It’s not about the easy availability of guns, or even about mental health.  Schools just have too many doors.

Let’s see if Texas or any other state decides to appropriate money to remodel their schools on a single entrance/exit model.  If they don’t, then Patrick’s analysis is just more NRA bullshit.  That’s the outcome to bet on.

As Josh Marshall points out, the relevant data in this shooting is almost certainly “teenage boy.”  Sometimes alienated high school boys find religious or political ideologies that provide a rationale for their anger.  But those ideologies, pernicious as they may be, increasingly look like flags of convenience. 

What we have in this country are a lot of teenage boys who are angry loners.  That’s probably nothing new.  I was a bit of a loner myself in my high school years, but I was never tempted to shoot my classmates.  But that was long ago and far away.  These are different times.

Malcolm Gladwell, writing in the New Yorker in 2015 (link below) speculates that the Columbine shooting in 1999 was the tipping point.  Shooters Eric Harris and Dylan Klebold established a template that disturbed young men want to emulate.  They had a website, they wrote manifestoes, they made home movies of themselves as killers. 

The more these things happen, Gladwell says, the easier it gets for the next guy.  “The problem is not that there is an endless supply of deeply disturbed young men who are willing to contemplate horrific acts. It’s worse. It’s that young men no longer need to be deeply disturbed to contemplate horrific acts.”

The image accompanying this post is of one of the split gates (candi bentar) in the Pura Penataran Agung Lempuyang temple on Mt. Lempuyang, Bali, Indonesia.

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/10/19/thresholds-of-violence

PLEASE DON'T BE LONG, PLEASE DON'T YOU BE VERY LONG

Thursday, May 17, will mark the first anniversary of Robert Mueller’s appointment as Special Counsel.  If you hear a Republican cite this as evidence that Mueller has no case and has nothing to show for the past twelve months, remind them of a few things.

First, mention the two special prosecutors who spent four years investigating Bill Clinton.  It started in January 1994, with Republican special prosecutor Robert Fiske, who investigated the so-called “Whitewater” scandal and the death of Vincent Foster.  Fiske couldn’t find anything to prosecute, but congressional Republicans weren’t satisfied.  They turned to Republican Ken Starr as Fiske’s replacement, and told him to keep looking until he found evidence of criminal activity.  It took him four years, but he unearthed the story of the Oval Office blow job, and that was enough for Republicans to try to impeach Bill Clinton.

Bill Clinton has a lot to be ashamed of, but his sexual misdeeds pale in comparison to those of the current occupant of the Oval Office.  In truth, though, most Republicans don’t really object to Trump’s compulsive adultery.  It’s the kind of thing they’d probably do themselves if they thought they could get away with it.  Or actually do, on a smaller scale, and get away with routinely.  Republicans are shameless.

Speaking of shameless Republicans, they also spent four years trying to find something, anything, about the attack on the American embassy in Benghazi that they could use to indict Hillary Clinton.  Five different Republican-led House committees held hearings.  They all came up dry.  A terrible tragedy, yes.  Confused official accounts based on incomplete information in the early stages, yes.  But was there anything illegal or prosecutable?  No.

Poor Republicans.  They want so badly to put someone named Clinton in prison. 

They must be jealous that the first year of Robert Mueller’s investigation has produced five guilty pleas (most prominently Mike Flynn, Rick Gates, and George Papadopoulos) and over a dozen additional indictments (most prominently Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort).  Mueller has accomplished all this in the face of obstruction and lies from members of the Trump crime syndicate, from most of the Republican Party, and from the GOP’s enablers at Fox News. 

In fact, Mueller is so busy that he handed off the poster boy for inept corruption, Michael Cohen, to the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York.  Cohen’s goldmine of bribery, influence peddling, and money laundering will keep grand juries in SDNY busy for years. 

The legal race to bring down Donald Trump does seem to be gaining speed, thanks  to Stormy Daniels and her sharp attorney Michael Avenatti.  Avenatti has opened a third front against the current occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.  He knows things about Trump’s outside women, and also about his dirty business deals.  Unlike Robert Mueller and the SDNY, he’s under no obligation to remain silent about what he knows. 

Avenatti’s current strategy seems to be to inflict death by a thousand cuts on Donald Trump, dropping clues (some of them bombshells) every few days to keep the press interested.  He’s engaging in asymmetric warfare,  giving Donald Trump a taste of his own medicine.

Avenatti has Trump is spooked.  How do we know?  Because Trump hasn’t attacked Avenatti on Twitter, Trump’s favorite battleground for insulting his enemies.

We don’t know what Avenatti knows, or what Robert Mueller knows.  But we know enough, and what we DO know is damning.  Below is a link to an article with a good summary of information on Trump-Russia that is a matter of public record.  It’s not in dispute.

Not that truth matters to Republicans.  They don’t care about a 3,500-year-old commandment against bearing false witness.  They’ll embrace any lie that will help them retain power. 

https://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2018/05/russia-crib-sheet.html

IF YOU'VE GOT A PROBLEM, I DON'T CARE WHAT IT IS, I CAN HELP

Paul Campos, writing in NEW YORK MAGAZINE (link below), has an interesting theory about Elliott Broidy.  Broidy, you may remember, is one of only three clients that Michael Cohen has, along with Sean Hannity and Donald Trump.  He’s a Republican fundraiser, and – as Campos found out – a fixer in his own right.  In fact, he’s the kind of guy that Michael Cohen aspires to be.

Broidy is the handsome devil on the left in the photo accompanying this post.  You recognize the handsome devil on the right.  But who’s the woman between Broidy and Trump?   She looks a whole lot like Stormy Daniels, but her name is Shera Bechard, who was PLAYBOY’s Playmate of the Month for November 2010. 

Cohen’s version of the story is that Broidy had an affair with Miss November, who got pregnant.  Broidy then went to Cohen, who brokered Bechard’s abortion and a $1.6 million payoff for her silence.  Paul Campos dug a little deeper and found out that Broidy has a history of helping out wealthy men with girlfriend problems. 

Given that information, you might stop and think.  Which guy – Broidy or Trump – has a history of dating Playboy models?  Here’s a hint – it’s not Broidy.  And which man was accustomed to using Michael Cohen to pay off his exes?  Another hint – it wasn’t Broidy.

As you’ve probably guessed, Campos speculates that it was Trump, not Broidy, who impregnated Miss November and paid her to get an abortion.  That scenario does beg the question of why a guy like Broidy would take the fall for Donald Trump.  Campos’ research suggests that it’s the kind of thing Broidy does for his wealthy friends.  Take a look at the article.

In the meantime, we’re learning more about where all this payoff money came from.  The Wall Street Journal reported that at least one bank filed a Suspicious Activity Report with the Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network regarding Cohen’s pattern of deposits and withdrawals.  Inevitably, someone leaked information about the SAR to Stormy Daniels’s attorney, Michael Avenatti, who shared it with the world. 

Long story short, once Trump was elected, Cohen conned a few American companies into funneling money into his shell corporation, Essential Consultants LLC.  Ostensibly, they were paying Cohen for advice on Donald Trump’s thinking about policy matters.  It is to laugh.

Novartis has already admitted that it didn’t take them long to figure out that Cohen was an idiot who couldn’t help them with anything.  And yet they kept paying him, to the tune of $1.2 million over the course of a year.  Curiouser and curiouser. 

If Novartis wants to pay me not to help them, I’ll take their money.  But nah, that wouldn’t be fair.  In return for $1.2 million, I’ll give them better advice than Cohen ever did.  Here is Trump’s policy “thinking” (not that much thought goes into it) in a nutshell.  Whatever President Obama was for, Trump is against.  That’s basically it.  I’ll take my money in monthly installments, or in one lump sum, whatever works best for Novartis.

But the larger story is that a big chunk of the payoff money (I’ve seen estimates ranging from $500,000 to $1 million) came from Columbus Nova, which is an American subsidiary of the Renova Group.  The names are innocuous enough, but Renova is controlled by one Viktor Vekselberg, a Russian oligarch.  And there you have it.  A Russian oligarch helped Donald Trump’s fixer pay off Miss November.

It is increasingly obvious that Cohen has served not only as Trump’s fixer, but also as his bag man, as a conduit for moving money from Russia to the Trump crime family in the US.  Trump has repeatedly claimed that he has no contact with Russia.  But there sure are a lot of Russians who are in close contact with people close to Donald Trump. 

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/05/theory-playboy-model-had-affair-with-trump-not-broidy.html?utm_source=tw&utm_medium=s3&utm_campaign=sharebutton-t

A FUNNY THING HAPPENED ON THE WAY

Apparently the Democratic-controlled state legislature of New York gets to appoint a temporary replacement for Eric Schneiderman.  There are a lot of reasons why it won’t happen, but it would be hilarious if they appointed Hillary Clinton to serve out Schneiderman’s term.  Failing that, I hope they choose Preet Bharara, whom Trump fired from his job as the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York back in March, 2017. 

Republicans who are inclined to gloat over Schneiderman should compare Schneiderman’s swift resignation to, for instance, Missouri Governor Eric Greitens, who clings to power despite overwhelming evidence of his guilt.  Or compare Al Franken’s exit to Roy Moore’s. 

Democrats have their share of bad actors, but they don’t cling to them the way Republicans do.  Most Republicans believe that ends justify the means.  That sort of cynicism is how you end up defending Donald Trump.

Yesterday (before the Schneiderman news broke), New Republic writer Jeet Heer made an interesting point about the GOP’s run of bad apples.  He argues that Trump is far from being an outlier.  He is, instead, the latest in a long line of Republican scofflaws – for example, Joseph McCarthy, Richard Nixon and Spiro Agnew, Oliver North, Dick Cheney, and Sarah Palin, to name but a few.  Donald Trump is simply harvesting the fruit from seeds that his party has been planting since World War II.

Heer identifies the root of the problem is as a Republican rejection of “the rule of law” in favor of a fetish for “law and order,” with order being more important to them than law. 

I’d take his point a step further and observe that the “order” Republicans want to preserve has nothing to do with safe streets and neighborhoods.  Republicans are fighting for a much older order – one in which authority resides with wealthy white men.  “Order” means patriarchy and white supremacy, covered with a veneer of right-wing Christianity. 

Contemporary Republican leaders have a deep disdain for democracy, and they are no longer trying to hide it.  And the truth is, most Republican voters seem to be attracted to authoritarians, demagogues, and even outright thugs.  People who argue that the Republican Party will return to respectability once Trump is gone are kidding themselves.  As long as their candidate is white and willing to demonize minorities, it doesn’t matter to Republican voters whether he’s smart, competent, or even honest.  A non-trivial percentage of Republicans are happy to support liars, thieves, adulterers, and even child molesters, as long as there’s an (R) next to their names.    

STILL I'M SAD

Since I’ve touted the work of now ex- New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman, I feel obliged to acknowledge his disgrace and resignation.  He was credibly accused by four women of abusive behavior.  His initial denial didn’t really address the allegations, and then he resigned.  Shame on him. 

I hope that his temporary successor (who I assume will be a Democrat) and the winner of the general election in November (who I hope will be a Democrat) will be aggressive in enforcing the laws of the State of New York.

ALMOST HEAVEN, WEST VIRGINIA

An old friend of mine recently moved from Vermont to West Virginia to be close to his grandchildren.  He says the people are friendly and there’s no better place to have a flat tire, because everyone will stop to offer help.  It’s a great place, apart from the politics.

But oh, the politics.  Democrat Senator Joe Manchin is up for re-election, and he’s thought to be vulnerable.  There’s a Republican primary on Tuesday, and a dark horse candidate is moving up fast – a fellow named Don Blankenship.  Blankenship is the former head of Massey Energy Company, and a convicted felon.

In 2014, Blankenship was indicted for Massey’s violation of mandatory federal mine safety and health standards in an accident in which 29 coal miners died.  Remarkably (because wealthy white men usually manage to avoid prison), Blankenship actually served a year in jail.  He avoided the worst of the charges, but his guilt must have been glaringly obvious because he had to do time. 

At any rate, Blankenship is now an ex-con, albeit one with plenty of money and political ambitions.  He’s running a largely issue-free campaign, relying on nativist attacks against “China people” and insulting prominent Republicans (“Cocaine Mitch McConnell”) to get headlines.    

The thing is, outside of West Virginia, Republicans are gung ho (as China people say) about restricting the voting rights of felons.  You might think that they’d find themselves in an awkward position if Blankenship wins the primary.  But for the GOP, cognitive dissonance is a feature, not a bug.  

For instance, here’s what Franklin Graham said about presidential adulterers: “The God of the Bible says that what one does in private does matter….  If he will lie to or mislead his wife and daughter, those with whom he is most intimate, what will prevent him from doing the same to the American public?” 

Of course, Graham said that about Bill Clinton in 1998.  Twenty years later, he’s willing to ignore compulsive adulterer Donald Trump’s much longer list of infidelities.  Apparently in Graham’s church, the Ten Commandments only apply to Democrats.

That's the key to understanding the rot at the heart of the contemporary Republican Party.  Their own sins don't matter much.  But if Democrats do the same thing?  Lock 'em up!

THE SPEAR OF DESTINY

Earlier this week, the New York Times published a list of 49 questions that it claims Robert Mueller wants to ask Donald Trump.  The provenance of these questions is in dispute.  Trump himself groused via Twitter that they were leaked by Mueller’s team, but that seems highly unlikely. 

Informed sources suggest that the list originated with Jay Sekulow, one of Trump’s attorneys, who drafted the questions based on a conversation with Mueller’s team back in March.  Since the list was drafted by Team Trump, it must have been leaked by Team Trump. 

Why did Trump’s legal team think this was a good idea?  Several possibilities come to mind.  Maybe it’s a signal to Fox & Friends to spend hours talking about how unfair the questions are.  Maybe it’s an attempt to give potential future witnesses a chance to align their stories.  Maybe it’s a signal to witnesses who have already testified to give Trump’s new lawyers details of their testimony to Mueller.  Maybe it’s a step in persuading Trump not to submit to an interview with Mueller.  And since none of those things are mutually exclusive, maybe it’s all of those things.

Is there even a ghost of a chance that Donald Trump could get through these questions without perjuring himself?  I say no.  He’s been a liar all his life.  At the age of 71, Trump’s lying is a habit too deeply ingrained to reverse, particularly for a man in obvious cognitive decline.       

The leak of the so-called “Mueller” questions is just one more example of Team Trump’s lack of a long-term strategy.  Wednesday brought the news that attorney Ty Cobb, an advocate of minimizing further damage by cooperating with Robert Mueller, has been replaced by Emmet Flood, a veteran of the Bill Clinton impeachment fight.  That looks like a concession by the Trump camp that they expect the mid-term elections to go badly for Republicans, and that they’re gearing up for an impeachment trial.

Meanwhile, we heard from another Republican political strategist who’d had a chat with Robert Mueller’s team.  Michael Caputo worked on the Trump campaign and was one of the voices in support of replacing Cory Lewandowski with Paul Manafort.  Caputo is one of the legion of Trump people with close connections to Russia, having lived and worked there for several years at the turn of the century.    

Caputo was neither cocky nor defiant after his interview with Team Mueller.  He told CNN’s Manu Raju that “It’s clear they are still really focused on Russia collusion. ... They know more about the Trump campaign than anyone who ever worked there.  The Senate and the House are net fishing.  The special counsel is spearfishing. They know what they are aiming at and are deadly accurate.”

The reason Mueller’s team knows so much about the Trump campaign is that they’ve got emails, wiretaps, and the testimony of cooperating witnesses who have filled in most of the blanks.  They ask each new witness questions about things they already know to test their honesty.  Lie to them, and you’ll have a perjury charge added to whatever else you may have done wrong.

If Donald Trump is dumb enough to testify under oath, he’s screwed, over and above all those high crimes and misdemeanors he’s committed.  Trump’s problem is that he couldn’t answer 49 questions about anything – his family, his business, his golf game – without lying.  He can’t help himself.  He’s a perjury indictment waiting to happen.

Finally, this week marked the return of Rudy Giuliani to the spotlight, this time in the role of the public face of Trump’s new legal team.  He did not delay in dropping a couple of bombshells.  On Fox Wednesday night, Giuliani admitted to Sean Hannity that Trump did in fact reimburse Michael Cohen for the $130,000 payoff to Stormy Daniels.  

On the surface, that seems like a big oops, since it contradicts the earlier Trump/Cohen narrative, but there are those who suggest that there’s method to Giuliani’s madness.  In the course of the Hannity interview, Giuliani also claimed that it was common practice for attorneys to take care of minor stuff for their clients without bothering them with the details.  Any attorney reading this can comment on whether this is true or not.

As a line of defense for Trump, though, it makes a certain amount of sense.  Trump claims he was accustomed to getting un-itemized bills from Michael Cohen and paying them without asking questions.  That way he can admit that the money for the Stormy Daniels payoff came from him, but that he didn’t know what it was for.  If he didn’t know he was buying Stormy’s silence, the argument goes, it wasn’t a campaign violation.

Josh Marshall, at Talking Points Memo, suggests that Giuliani inadvertently gave away Trump’s modus operandi for greasing the palms of local officials who had approval authority for his hotel and casino projects.  Marshall speculates that Trump would signal Cohen when it was time to pay off crooked bureaucrats, and Cohen got the money to them.  They pocketed the bribes and helped remove the impediment to the project at hand.  Sometime later, Cohen would present Trump with a bill, and Trump would reimburse his attorney.  The U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York has all the records, paper and electronic. 

The un-itemized billing thing is an interesting theory.  I can believe that Trump and Cohen might work out that kind of a nudge-nudge wink-wink sort of arrangement.  But how did Cohen know who to pay, and how much they were worth?  I have a hard time believing that Trump didn’t approve the $130,000 payoff to Stormy Daniels beforehand.

Of course, what I think doesn’t matter.  Cohen’s testimony is what will matter.  And if he pleads the Fifth Amendment?  No less an authority than Donald Trump said, “If you are innocent, why are you taking the Fifth Amendment?”

And after all that, Rudy Giuliani had one more bomb to drop.  He told Sean Hannity that the whole country would turn against Mueller if he went after Ivanka Trump.  Ivanka’s husband, though?  Not so much.  Giuliani said that Jared Kushner was “disposable.”  That seems like a big deal.

My guess is that Giuliani was paraphrasing something he heard directly from Trump himself – something like, “I don’t care what happens to Jared, but they better leave Ivanka alone.”  The question is whether Giuliani’s comment was a calculated signal that Trump was ready to throw his son in law under the bus.  Like Donald Trump, Rudy isn’t nearly as smart as he thinks he is, and he may have just been running his mouth. 

Whatever the explanation, it must have made for some awkward dinner table conversation around Chez Kushner.